Geostrategy-Direct, www.geostrategy-direct.com, December 6, 2006
WASHINGTON A new report has warned the Bush administration of the
implications of failing to counter a nuclear Iran.
The report said the United States and its NATO allies must work with Gulf
Cooperation Council states to form a regional security network to defeat any
Iranian threat. Such a network must be capable of stopping nuclear and
missile shipments to Teheran.
"A failure to engage in such planning would be an omission on the magnitude
of the failure to adequately plan for the aftermath of regime change in
Iraq," the report said. "The planning should include the possibility of
follow-on strikes at facilities to prevent their reconstruction and steps to
deter or disrupt possible Iranian responses."
The Washington Institute, blaming administration officials for complacency,
asserted that the United States must convince Teheran of Washington's
determination to stop Iranian nuclear weapons, including through the use of
"U.S.-encouraged security measures should likewise create doubts in the
minds of Iranian leaders about their country's ability
to reliably deliver nuclear weapons and raise the possibility that even
threatened use of a nuclear weapon could jeopardize the survival of their
regime," stated the report, "Facing Hard Choices on Iran."
The report, authored by Michael Eisenstadt and Patrick Clawson, urged the
administration to enhance the U.S. military's ability to counter Iranian
naval mine, small boat and submarine warfare capabilities, halt smuggling of
special materials and dual-use technologies, identify and neutralize Islamic
insurgency cells and detect and interdict weapons of mass destruction
shipments to Iran.
"Washington has been pressing its Gulf Arab allies to cooperate more fully
with the Proliferation Security Initiative, designed to prevent Iranian
access to WMD-related technology," the report said.
"The United States and its allies can more aggressively prosecute
individuals and firms that provide Iran with dual-use technologies that can
be used in its nuclear program."
On Oct. 30, the United States led the first PSI exercise in the Gulf.
Bahrain participated while Qatar and the United Arab Emirates observed.
The proposed security regime would be based on extending U.S. cooperation
with Turkey and the GCC on both military and intelligence issues. The
authors cited U.S. efforts to help the GCC in an air and missile defense
early warning system as well as command, control, communications, computers,
and intelligence architecture.
"This means bolstering the littoral warfare and aerial precision-strike
capabilities of these states ? particularly their ability to counter Iran's
mine, submarine, and naval special-warfare forces. Countering these Iranian
capabilities will also require a significant U.S. military presence in the
Gulf for the foreseeable future."
The report said the proposed Gulf security architecture could dissuade Iran
from continuing its nuclear program and reduce threats to use nuclear
IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis
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