PCPO Poll: 25.6 % blame Israel for Palestinian crisis, faith in ability of Hamas government plummetshttp://zionism-israel.com/israel_news/2007/01/pcpo-poll-256-blame-israel-for.html
The most recent poll prepared by. Dr. Nabil Kukali on the
present general conditions prevailing in the Palestinian
territories has revealed that:
(59.4 %) of the Palestinians are at various degrees in favor of holding
(60.7%) are in favor of holding new PLC elections.
(35.0%) are in favor of Mr. Mahmoud Abbas for the PA presidency,
(26 %) would vote for Mr. Ismael Haniyye, and (21.8%) are in favor of
Marwan Barghouthi .
(80.4%) are worried about their personal security.
(77.2%) believe that the halt of the financial assistance accelerates the
severity of violence in the region.
Beit Sahour - Information Section:
In the most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali,
Director of the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) and conducted
during the period from January 2 - 9, 2007, a random sample of (1015)
respondents representing the various demographic specimens of the population
in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip over (18) years
has been interviewed. The outcome revealed that (80.4 %) are worried about
their personal security.
A high rate of the respondents reaching (77.2 %), Dr. Kukali
said, believe that the halt of the financial assistance accelerates the rate
of violence in the region. The said rate is allocated as follows:
(44.9%) in the West Bank and (32.3 %) in Gaza Strip. (76 %) of the
Palestinian public, Dr. Kukali added, believe that the security condition at
present is worse than it was a year before.
Dr. Kukali pointed furthermore out that (59.4 %) of the
Palestinians are, at various degrees, in favor of holding presidential
elections at present. (35 %) see Mr. Mahmoud Abbas as their favorite
candidate for the PA-president office, followed by Mr. Ismael Haniyyeh with
(26.1 %) in the second position and Mr. Marwan Bargouthi with
(21.8 %) in the third position.
Whom to be held responsible for the prevailing Palestinian crisis:
Responding to the question: "Whom you think should be held
responsible for the prevailing Palestinian crisis?" (25.6 %) answered
'Israel', (21.5 %) 'The persistence of Hamas in its positions ', (19.3 %)
'The American intervention', (11.5 %) 'The hesitation of the Prime Minister
to take bold decisions in dealing with the crisis', (10.3 %) 'The weak
position of the PA president in ruling the crisis', (9.3 %) 'the persistence
of Fateh in its positions', (1.9 %) 'The Arab position' and (0.6 %) answered
' I don't know '.
The Security Condition:
With respect to the question: "Up to which extent are you
concerned about your personal security?" (42.2 %) answered ' I'm worried',
(38.2 %) 'Too much worried ', (14.1 %) 'Not so much worried' and (5.5 %)
'Not worried at all'.
And responding further to the question: " How do you see the
prevailing security condition compared with that prior to the taking-over of
the post of the Prime Minister by the present government ?", (76.1 %) said '
it became worse', (22.8 %) 'It became better', and (1.1 %) 'Don't know '.
Is there a link between violence and the halt of the financial assistance ?
(77.2 %) of the Palestinians believe that the halt of the
foreign financial assistance to the Palestinian government would further
increase the severity of violence in the region, whilst (8.5 %) said that '
it would curtail the violence' and (13.8 %) are of the opinion that ' its
cut-off now is not effecting the violence at all' and (0.5 %) declined to
respond to the question.
The Presidential Elections:
Responding to the question: "Are you in favor or not in
favor of conducting presidential elections at present?", (34.2 %) are
'strongly in favor', (25.3 %) are ' somewhat in favor ', ( 20 %) 'Strongly
oppose', (19.8 %) 'Somehow oppose' and (0.7 %) answered: ' I don't know '.
The favorite candidate for the PA presidency:
With respect to the question: "Who - according to your
opinion - would be
the favorite candidate of Fateh for the PA presidency in the coming
presidential elections ?", (39.2 %) said 'Marwan Bargouthi', (38.7 %)
'Mahmoud Abbas ', (2.9 %) 'Ahmed Qurei ', (6.7 %) 'Others ' and (12.5 %)
answered: ' I don't know '.
And on the question: "Whom you think would be the favorite
candidate of Hamas for the PA presidency in the next presidential
elections?" (50.5 %) answered 'Ismael Haniyyeh', (15.5 %) 'Aziz El-Duwaik',
(9.2 %) 'Mahmoud Azzahar', (6.9 %) 'Others ' and (17.9 %) answered: ' I
don't know '.
Responding furthermore to the question: "Who is your
favorite candidate for the PA presidency in the next presidential
elections?" (35 %) said ' Mahmoud Abbas ', (26.6 %) 'Ismael Haniyyeh ',
(21.8 %) 'Marwan Bargouthi', (2.4 %) 'Aziz El-Duwaik ', (1.3 %) 'Mahmoud
Azzahar ', (1%) 'Ahmed Qurei ', (5.3 %) 'Others ' and (6.6 %) 'I don't know
The Elections for the Palestinian Legislative Council:
With regard to the question: "Are you in favor or not in
favor of holding new PLC elections at present "? (38.1 %) said they ' are
strongly in favor ', (22.6 %) are ' somewhat in favor ', (14.3 %) 'Somehow
oppose ', (24.3 %) 'Strongly oppose' and (0.7 %) answered: ' I don't know '.
Participation of Hamas in the Palestinian Authority:
(53.4 %) of the Palestinians consider the decision of Hamas
taking part in the Palestinian Authority as a ' wrong decision ', whilst (41
%) said it was a ' right decision' and (5.6 %) declined to express their
And on the question: " A year after the present government
being in office, has your conviction that this government would ever be
successful in the implementation of its below-mentioned election campaign
promises become bolstered or rather fainted ?", the answers came as follows:
A. "Reform and Change": (33.8 %) said their conviction has 'become
bolstered', (64.7 %) 'Become fainted' and (1.5 %) 'Don't know '.
B. "One hand builds, the other hand resists": (30.2 %) are of the opinion
that their conviction on this point has 'become bolstered', (67.8 %) 'Become
fainted ' and (2 %) 'Don't know '.
C. "To put an end to the lawlessness ": (23.7 %) has ' become bolstered',
(74.3 %) has 'become fainted' and (2 %) 'Don't know '.
D. "To put an end to the corruption": (32.9 %) became 'bolstered' in their
conviction, (65.2 %) 'Fainted' and (1.9 %) 'Don't know'
The Palestinian Television:
(36.5 %) of the Palestinians evaluated the performance of
the Palestinian Television as 'good', (35.8 %) as 'mediocre', (27.4 %) as
'bad' and (0.3 %) didn't respond to the question.
The Political Condition:
(74 %) of the Palestinians consider the political conditions
at present as "bad' compared with those conditions before the year 2006,
whilst (24.2 %) said they are 'better' and (1.8 %) hesitated to answer the
The Relations between the Factions:
(76.6 %) of the respondents were of the opinion that the
relations between the Palestinian factions at present compared with those of
the year 2005 were bad, whilst (20.9 %) said that they are better and (2.5
%) declined to answer the question.
A View on the Methodology of the Survey:
Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research and Studies
Section at the PCPO, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted
inside the respondents' homes, which are randomly chosen from all over the
Palestinian territories in accordance with a proved scientific method
applied by the PCPO.
The reliability degree of the study is ascertained by
determining the Cronbach Alpha-Coefficient that is computed at (0.8477). The
choices of the random sample, Mr. E. Kukali added, were taken from a total
of (156) sites, from which (112) are located in the West Bank and (44) sites
in Gaza Strip. The margin of error in this survey, Mr. E. Kukali
established, was (± 3.08 %) at a confidence level of (95 %).
Mr. E. Kukali has further indicated that the rate of the
female respondents in this survey was (48.4 %) whilst that of the male
respondents was (51.6 %). The distribution of the random sample between the
Palestinian two major regions was (62.5 %) in the West Bank, including East
Jerusalem, and (37.5%) in Gaza Strip. The allocation of the residential
areas was as follows: (50.7 %) for the towns, (31.9 %) for the villages and
(17.4 %) for the camps.
Contact Persons: Dr. Nabil Kukali & Elias Kukali
Tel: 00970 2 277 4846, Fax: 00970 2 277 4892
Mobile: 00972 547 216 643 / 00970 599 726 878
P.O. Box 15, Beit Sahour - Palestine
IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis
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