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Thursday, March 15, 2007

Polls: 44.1% of Kadima voters wants Kadima in power if Olmert falls

Polls: 44.1% of Kadima voters wants Kadima in power if Olmert falls
Dr. Aaron Lerner     Date: 15 March 2007

Telephone poll of a representative sample of 541 adult Israelis (including
Arab Israelis) carried out by  Shvakim Panorama
for Israel Radio's "Another Matter" program on 14 March 2007.

If prime minister Ehud Olmert has to resign as a result of the interim Winograd Commission report, who of the following Kadima Party leader do you think should head Kadima and serve in his place as prime minister?

Livni 33.9% Peres 16.9% Shitreet 4.4% Mofaz 7.2% Dichter 4.3% Other replies 33.4%
Kadima voters:
Livni 49.7% Peres 19.1% Shitreet 10.9% Mofaz 4.0% Dichter 3.0% Other replies 13.4%
Likud voters:
Livni 27.0% Peres 8.6% Shitreet 2.1% Mofaz 8.9% Dichter 3.5% Other replies 49.8%
Labor voters:
Livni 35.7% Peres 25.8% Shitreet 6.8% Mofaz 10.5% Dichter 6.1% Other replies

And if minister of defense Amir Peretz has to leave the Ministry of Defense as a result of the interim Winograd Commission report,  who of the following two personalities in the Labor Party do you think should take his place in the position of minister of defense?

Total: Barak 24.2% Ayalon 49.6% Neither 11.1% Other replies 15.1%
Kadima voters: Barak 27.6% Ayalon 61.0% Neither 2.0% Other replies 9.4%
Likud voters: Barak 19.9% Ayalon 43.3% Neither 15.4% Other replies 21.4%
Labor voters: Barak 45.5% Ayalon 54.5%

And if in the end it turns out that the Olmert Government falls because of the interim Winograd Commission report, what do you think is the best thing to do under those circumstances?New elections, form government under Netanyahu without elections or form new government lead by whoever heads Kadima without elections?

Elections 34.1% Netanyahu government 26.0% Kadima government 29.6% Other replies 10.3%
Kadima voters
Elections 34.6% Netanyahu government 14.4% Kadima government 44.1% Other replies 6.9%
Likud voters
Elections 28.8% Netanyahu government 61.7% Kadima government 4.7% Other replies 4.7%
Labor voters
Elections 43.8% Netanyahu government 4.5% Kadima government 44.8% Other replies 6.8%

Do you think the Saudi peace initiative: end of the conflict, full peace with all the Arab states, return to the 1967 borders with small adjustments and a just agreed solution to the refugee problem, could serve as a basis for Israel for opening negotiations?

[AL: This is not really the Saudi initiative, there are no border adjustments mentioned in the initiative and while "a just agreed solution" for refugees is indeed mentioned, the initiative cites right of return and opposes settling refugees elsewhere.  Did the folks from Israel Radio who ordered the question make a mistake or instead - in order to promote their personal political agendas did they want to "improve" the question in order to increase the chances of getting the outcome they wanted?]

Total: Yes 40.2% No 48.2% Other 11.6%
Kadima voters: Yes 49.8% No 37.4% Other 12.8%
Likud voters: Yes 24.4% No 67.3% Other 8.3%
Labor voters: Yes 63.5% No 28.2% Other 8.4%

IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis

Copyright - Original materials copyright (c) by the authors. Originally posted at Please do link to these articles, quote from them and forward them by email to friends with this notice. Other uses require written permission of the author.


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