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Thursday, April 26, 2007

Poll of Israel Labor Party: Barak closing the gap on Ayalon

A new opinion poll shows that Ehud Barak is closing the gap on Ami Ayalon in the Labor party primaries.  He would get 29% versus 30% for Ayalon if elections were held today, while 6 weeks ago polls showed Ayalon with a decisive 16 point lead. If nobody gets 40% of the vote, the elections go to a second round. In a second round, Ayalon still has a decided advantage, but Barak is closing the gap there too:
The poll by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim"  (It's All Talk) was carried out on 25 April 2007.  Statistical error +/- 4.5.:
If primaries were held today in the Labor Party to elect the chairman of the party and its candidate for prime minister.  Of the following candidates who would you  vote for?
25 April Ayalon 30% Barak 29% Peretz 16% Pines 8% Yatom 3% Other replies 14%
7 March Ayalon 38% Barak 22% Peretz 18% Pines 7% Yatom 4% Other replies 11%

Second round:
25 April Ayalon 47% Barak 38% Other replies 15%
7 March Ayalon 56% Barak 34% Other replies 10%

25 April Ayalon 66% Peretz 23% Other replies 11%
7 March Ayalon 67% Peretz 21% Other replies 12%

25 April Barak 56% Peretz 22% Other replies 22%
7 March Barak 52% Peretz 25% Other replies 23%

Of the various candidates who has the best chance to return the Labor Party to lead the government?
25 April Ayalon 33% Barak 32% Peretz 11% Yatom 5% Pines 2% None of the above
5% Other replies 12%
7 March Ayalon 42% Barak 28% Peretz 11% Yatom 3% Pines 6% None of the above
5% Other replies 5%

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