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Thursday, June 21, 2007

Palestinians support Abbas and Fateh

NEC's monthly bulletin on Palestinian perceptions towards politics and economics
Special Focus: Palestinian Internal Crisis
June 2007
Please contact:
Jamil Rabah
Near East Consulting
HSBC Building, 3rd floor
Tel: 02-2961436
Fax: 02-2963114

This latest survey was conducted by telephone between the 15th and 17th of
June, 2007, and has a margin of error of +/- 3.4%, with a 95% confidence
level. The results of this survey and the other earlier surveys, along with
accompanying bulletins, are available online from the NEC's web site. Visit
us at

[excerpts edited by IMRA]

Figure 3: Main reasons of concern
7% The economic hardship of my household
24% The absence of security for me and my family
55% The internal power struggle
4% Hamas in power
1% Fateh in opposition
1% The Israeli occupation in general
1% Family problems
1% I have no concern

Figure 4: Will the crisis spread to reach the West bank
Yes 55% No 45%

Figure 5: Will the crisis lead to separation between the West Bank and Gaza
Yes 60% No 40%

Figure 6: The likelihood of a civil war
very likely 32% likely 32%
unlikely 30% very unlikely 5%

Figure 7: Factions blamed for the recent clashes in the Gaza Strip
Mainly Hamas 28%  Mainly Fateh 22% I blame both equally 50%

Figure 8: Leader Palestinians trust most
West Bank Abu Mazen 73% Ismael Hanieh 27%
Gaza Strip Abu Mazen 50% Ismael Hanieh 50%
Poverty line Below poverty 61% 39%

Figure 9: Has the time come for Abu Mazen to resign?
Yes 36% No 64%

Table 10: Level of support for the peace process region of residence
I support/oppose  a peace settlement with Israel.
West Bank  support 61% oppose 39%
Gaza Strip support 66% oppose  34%

Table 11: Attitude towards Hamas's position on the existence of Israel by
Should Hamas maintain its position on the elimination of Israel?
West Bank Yes 29% No 71%
Gaza Strip Yes 43% No 57%

Figure 12: Are external powers involved in the internal conflict?
Yes 82% No 18%

Figure 13: Country believed to have a role in agitating the crisis
22% Iran
9% Syria
5% Egypt
7% Egypt
2% Gulf States
9% The US/Western Countries
46% Mainly Israel

Table 13: Attitude towards Abu Mazen's call for an emergency government
Do you support the decision of president Abbas to declare a state of
emergency and to dissolve the government?
West Bank support 59% oppose 41%
Gaza Strip support 49% oppose 51%

Table 14: If you oppose the decision, what should Abu Mazen have done to
solve the crisis, by factional trust and region of residence?

West Bank:
31% Dissolve the PA
42% Call for early elections
12% Remove the heads of the security agencies
10% Resign
  5% Leave the situation as is

Gaza Strip
25% Dissolve the PA
24% Call for early elections
18% Remove the heads of the security agencies
 21% Resign
13% Leave the situation as is

Figure 15: Feeling about Abu Mazen's decision
Hasty decision 34%  late decision 48% at the time 19%

Figure 17: Support for an international presence in Gaza to stop the
violence from spreading
Yes, I support 34%
No, I oppose 66%

Table 15: Support for an international presence in Gaza to stop the violence
from spreading, by region of residence
West Bank support 36%  oppose  64%
Gaza Strip support 30%  oppose  70%

Figure 18: What party benefits from the internal conflict in the Gaza Strip?
Fateh 3% Hamas 11% Israel 76% Others 10%

Figure 19: Do you support Hamas taking full control of the Gaza Strip
Yes 25% No 75%

Table 17: Level of support for the Hamas takeover of the Gaza Strip
according to region of residence
West Bank Yes 16% No 84%
Gaza Strip Yes 38%  No 62%

Figure 20: Level of support for early presidential and PLC elections
Yes, I support 69% No, I oppose 31%

Table 19: Factional trust by region
West Bank Hamas 10% Fateh 33% PFLP 3%  Jihad  2% Others 4% None 48%
Gaza Strip Hamas  26% Fateh 32% PFLP 1%  Jihad  3% Others 2%  None 36%

Figure 22: Intention to immigrate
Yes 22% No 78%

Table 20: Intention to immigrate by region
Region West Bank  Yes 15% No 85%
Gaza Strip Yes  32% No 68%

Figure 23: Poverty level
Hardship cases 35% Below poverty level 32%
Above poverty level 34%

Figure 24: Attitude about the strategy that best serves the Palestinian
national interest
Fateh strategy 70% Hamas strategy 30%
West Bank Fateh strategy  78% Hamas strategy 22%
Gaza Strip Fateh strategy 61% Hamas strategy 39%

IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis

Copyright - Original materials copyright (c) by the authors. Originally posted at Please do link to these articles, quote from them and forward them by email to friends with this notice. Other uses require written permission of the author.


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